Menu | Explaining level changesSimon Purr v Dilip Chakrabarti (Mon 05 May 2025)Match won by Simon Purr. Result: 9-11,14-12,11-7.Starting level for Simon Purr: 2,298, level confidence: 73%. Set manually. Starting level for Dilip Chakrabarti: 1,559, level confidence: 75%. Set manually. Simon Purr to win as he is currently playing 47% better than Dilip Chakrabarti. Simon Purr won 67% of the games and 53% of the points. This games result would be expected if he was better by around 20%. This points result would be expected if he was better by around 13% (PAR scoring). These are weighted and combined to calculate that Simon Purr played 17% better than Dilip Chakrabarti in this match. As Simon Purr has played below his allowed range at 1,931, his level reduction is 6.2% before damping. On the assumption that Simon Purr would normally have been playing at level 2,195 (based on typical behaviour), Dilip Chakrabarti played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 9.9%. Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 5% and 8.1% respectively. As this is a best of 3 match rather than best of 5, these adjustments have been reduced to 3.7% and 6% respectively. Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Simon Purr changes to -3.7% and Dilip Chakrabarti changes to +5.8%. After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Simon Purr becomes -2.5% and for Dilip Chakrabarti becomes +3.6%. Given Simon Purr's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 5.8% has been applied to his level change. Apply match/event weighting of 50% for 'Fair Oak Boxes' so the adjustment for Simon Purr is -1.2% and for Dilip Chakrabarti is +1.8%. Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Simon Purr: 85%, Dilip Chakrabarti: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Simon Purr: 76%, Dilip Chakrabarti: 77%. A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools. Final level for Simon Purr: 2,268, level confidence: 76%. Final level for Dilip Chakrabarti: 1,585, level confidence: 77%. Notes
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